Will Truck Prices Go Down in 2025? Buy, Wait, or Lease Explained

Truck prices are climbing in 2025, leaving many businesses wondering whether to hold off, commit to ownership, or look at alternatives. The average new commercial truck reached $193,043 in July, with used truck prices averaging $45,038. Certified pre-owned trucks showed unusual volatility, falling to $79,793, a sharp 57 percent drop month over month. These shifts highlight how unpredictable the market has become (Equipment Finance News).

For companies that depend on their fleet to generate revenue, the real question is not just what trucks cost today but what is the smartest financial move moving forward. Should you buy, wait, or consider leasing?

Hansel Leasing gives businesses a smarter way forward, turning rising truck costs into an opportunity to preserve cash flow, protect profit, and secure the equipment needed to keep growing.

 

Will Truck Prices Go Down in 2025? What Market Factors Show

Truck and trailer supply rose slightly in July, with EFN’s market index climbing 1 percent month over month. Despite the increase, average prices for new and used trucks continued to trend upward (Equipment Finance News).

Industry leaders point to several forces shaping this environment:

  • Tariffs are raising costs and discouraging long-term investment.

  • Interest rates have led many companies to delay capital spending.

  • Lower spot rates are limiting profitability for carriers.

  • Fuel relief has been temporary, offering only a short-lived break.

  • New emissions regulations are discouraging Class 8 purchases until standards are clearer (TD Equipment Finance, Rush Enterprises).

For businesses, these factors create a dilemma: lock in trucks at today’s higher prices or risk waiting while productivity suffers.

Hansel Leasing provides a third path. By structuring payments over time, you gain the equipment you need without overcommitting capital in an unstable market.

 

Should You Wait to Buy a New Truck in 2025

Some forecasts suggest prices could ease in 2026, but waiting brings hidden costs:

  • Maintenance and downtime: Older trucks that stay on the road longer demand more repairs and risk unexpected breakdowns.

  • Lost opportunity: Every month without adequate capacity can mean missed contracts and revenue.

  • Uncertainty: Even if sticker prices soften, tariffs and regulations could offset savings (Equipment Finance News).

Waiting is essentially a gamble. Leasing, on the other hand, gives you predictable costs and ensures your fleet stays ready to generate revenue today.

Hansel Leasing structures agreements that let you upgrade on your terms, so you are not forced to wait for the perfect market conditions. You can keep your business moving now.

 

Buy vs Lease vs Wait – Which Makes Sense for Your Business

Option Pros Cons Best For
Buy Now Full ownership, potential asset value High upfront cost, risk of overpaying at peak Large, well-capitalized fleets
Wait Avoid buying at peak Risk of downtime, missed opportunities, no guarantee of lower prices Businesses with spare capacity
Lease Lower upfront, predictable payments, flexibility to upgrade No asset ownership Businesses needing trucks now without overextending

Leasing is often the best balance. It provides access to equipment today, keeps capital free for other needs, and minimizes exposure to unpredictable pricing swings.

Hansel Leasing specializes in tailoring agreements so that payments match your cash flow and business model, ensuring profit is protected while you stay competitive.

Secure Your Equipment Financing Today

Truck prices are rising and industry conditions remain uncertain, but that does not mean your growth has to stall. Hansel Leasing provides the flexibility to move forward now while others wait.

Whether you need a fleet of work trucks, construction machinery, or specialized equipment for agriculture, hospitality, or healthcare, we design financing that protects your profit and helps your business thrive.

Based in Sonoma County, Hansel Leasing has a long history of supporting businesses across the North Bay. From local wineries and breweries to construction companies and transportation fleets, our team understands the industries that drive this region. When you need equipment financing that is flexible, fast, and rooted in the community, Hansel Leasing is here to help.

 Apply today and see how Hansel Leasing can give your business a smarter way forward.

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